The key race: Palisades filed a retrieval LAR; the plant is still not generating
Palisades remains the nearest large-reactor operating event, and it is still not generating. On September 30 Palisades Energy submitted a license amendment request to retrieve fuel assembly DD41, which the LAR says was placed in core location H-1 and tilted to about 30 degrees after the refueling machine released it, with the lower tie plate in H-1 and the upper tie plate against the core shroud. Holtec asked for emergency processing with approval by October 2. ANS Nuclear Newswire, dated October 8, said the NRC comment period expired that afternoon and that the agency has verified the fuel rods remain intact. Fuel loading remains paused in Mode 6. This run found no later NRC approval or retrieval.
The same September 30 date, Holtec's SMR LLC submitted the Pioneer 1 and 2 Preliminary Safety Analysis Report, completing Part 2 of a phased construction-permit application for a two-unit SMR-300 plant at the Palisades Energy Campus. ANS described the units as twin 340 MWe pressurized-water reactors. That filing is not a construction permit and does not authorize SMR construction. Member records already carry the Pioneer PSAR timeline item.
Who's ahead: Clinch River still has a permit without steel; Long Mott closed comments without a permit
The NRC's October 5 Federal Register notice records Construction Permit CPAR-2 as issued September 28, immediately effective, for TVA's Clinch River Unit 1 in Roane County, Tennessee. The permit authorizes construction. It is not an operating license and does not authorize fuel loading. ENR, dated September 30, reported that TVA has not made a final commitment to build, nuclear construction has not begun, permit issuance has not triggered new construction packages, long-lead procurement, or expanded contractor scopes, and the board has authorized $350 million. This run found no later TVA board vote.
Long Mott Energy's four-unit Xe-100 plant at Dow Seadrift still lacks a construction permit. The August 20 hearing notice kept the written-comment record open until October 6. That deadline has passed. The NRC project page, last reviewed September 14, lists the advanced safety evaluation as actual in August 2026, the final safety evaluation as a November 2026 target, and the construction-permit decision as TBD. Closing the comment record is not a permit.
What decides it: a filed LAR is not retrieval, a Federal Register notice is not steel, and a closed comment window is not a permit
Palisades has to get the retrieval amendment approved, lift DD41, finish fuel loading, and put electrons on the grid. Clinch River has to convert CPAR-2 into a TVA board vote and safety-related nuclear construction. Long Mott has to convert a closed comment record into a staff final safety evaluation and a later permit. Pioneer has to convert a PSAR filing into a limited-work authorization and then a construction permit.
None of those clocks delivered restart generation, nuclear steel at Clinch River, a Long Mott construction permit, or an approved Palisades retrieval this week. A tilted assembly can still stop a licensed restart. TVA can hold a signed construction permit and still have authorized no new construction packages.
Demand is dated; a PSAR is not a plant
Holtec's Pioneer PSAR keeps Palisades Energy Campus in the SMR queue for the early 2030s. It does not authorize SMR construction. Clinch River's permit likewise does not substitute for a TVA final commitment or for Ontario Power Generation's already-under-construction BWRX-300 at Darlington.
The September 30 US-Korea framework remains non-binding on member records. Catalog news that Google is funding Constellation nuclear uprates is existing-fleet light-water capacity. Alphabet is not a fission member, so that print does not change this ranking. Radiant's Q3 DOME campaign closed September 30; this run found no later public criticality announcement.
What to watch through 2027-2028
Watch whether the NRC approves the Palisades retrieval LAR after the October 8 comment close, and whether Holtec actually lifts DD41 and resumes fuel loading. Watch whether TVA's board authorizes Clinch River construction. Watch Long Mott's November final-safety-evaluation target and the still-TBD construction-permit decision.
Watch whether Radiant publishes a DOME zero-power criticality after missing the September 30 Q3 target. Watch Pioneer limited-work-authorization review, not the PSAR filing, for Holtec's SMR construction clock. Member records already carry Kairos's October 1 ETU 2 final-skid note, FERC's September 24 Oklo EL26-101 denial, Westinghouse-Korea terms, and GE Hitachi's October 5 CPAR-2 Federal Register timeline item. Those do not change the permit-to-steel ranking this week.











