The key race: September retail fell while wholesale confirmed the 2026 high
Winning still means selling where households buy, and China's September print split those two counts. The China Passenger Car Association's 12 October review says passenger new-energy retail was 1.084 million, down 16.7 percent from a year earlier and up 7.8 percent from August. Wholesale was 1.666 million, up 11.3 percent year on year and 10.0 percent from August, in line with the early estimate of about 1.67 million. Retail penetration was a record 67.0 percent. Wholesale penetration was 65.4 percent.
Exports are what let wholesale rise while domestic retail fell. Passenger new-energy exports were 558,000, up 163.5 percent year on year, and 60.8 percent of passenger-vehicle exports. Battery-electric wholesale was 1.126 million, up 18.3 percent. Plug-in hybrid wholesale was 423,000, down 0.1 percent. Extended-range wholesale was 117,000, down 4.0 percent. ACEA still has not published the EU September registration print. Its calendar lists that release for 22 October 2026.
Who is ahead: BYD leads both sides, and Tesla China's retail is well below its wholesale
In that same review BYD is first on both tables, at 455,113 new-energy passenger wholesale and 246,816 domestic retail. Its export line in the same review is 175,877. Tesla China is fifth in wholesale at 95,366 and fourth in domestic retail at 64,837, with 30,529 new-energy exports. Those are China passenger figures. They are not a new global Tesla delivery total, and they still do not disclose a Semi count.
Among catalog members, Xiaomi is 40,015 on both wholesale and retail. NIO wholesale is 37,408, with domestic retail at 37,231. Li Auto is 31,817 on both. XPeng's association wholesale is 40,654 and its domestic retail is 30,599. Leapmotor, which is not a catalog member, is ahead of those premium names on both tables at 96,167 wholesale and 78,202 retail.
What decides the next orders: a priced European SUV, a China pre-sale, and a Roadster demo
XPeng's 12 October Paris release opened the G9L for Europe with French pricing from 74,990 euros. It says electric variants offer up to 591 km of WLTP range and that charging from 10 percent to 80 percent takes as little as 11.7 minutes. After a production trial at Magna in Graz, XPeng says the G9L is set to become its fourth model manufactured in Europe. That is a published list price and an open order book, not a count of completed orders or deliveries.
On 15 October XPeng opened Mona L05 pre-sales in China. The company lists 169,800 yuan for the pure-electric 535 Max and the range-extender 1310 Max, 179,800 yuan for the pure-electric 635 Max, 181,800 yuan for the range-extender 1310 Ultra SE, and 191,800 yuan for the pure-electric 635 Ultra SE. It says the formal launch is 29 October. These are pre-sale prices, not deliveries.
Tesla's Roadster page describes three configurations: a two-seat reservation version with a suction system, a limited two-seat version with rear cold-gas thrusters that Tesla says can go from 0 to 60 in under 1 second, and an invite-only one-seat version that Tesla says can fly and is not approved for public road use. The page does not state a price or a production year. The demonstration does not change 2026 delivery rankings.
What to watch through the October prints
ACEA's September EU passenger-car release is scheduled for 22 October 2026. That is the print that would show whether Europe's September looked more like China's export-heavy wholesale or its weaker domestic retail. XPeng's formal Mona L05 launch is 29 October, which is the test of whether the 15 October pre-sale band becomes the on-sale price.
Tesla's Roadster page still has no price and no production year, so a dated production start is not a 2026 volume milestone. The near-term volume question is exports, published order prices, and whether China's domestic retail stops falling year on year.














