What to Watch

2028 Milestones

86 announced milestones targeting 2028, soonest first. Each links to the company's page, with the full description and source.

  1. Next fiscal yearDouble chip unit shipments over the next yearNvidia
  2. Early 2028Deliver first TITAN production ground stationsPalantir Technologies
  3. Early 2028Launch of first Axiom Station module (PPTM) to the ISSAxiom Space
  4. As early as 2028Free-flying Axiom Station (Hab-1 joins PPTM)Axiom Space
  5. Q1 2028Fly Caravan 2, the second GEO rideshareImpulse Space
  6. Mar 2028Submit Kemmerer Unit 1 operating license applicationTerraPower
  7. H1 2028Launch Starlink Mobile as a direct US consumer carrierStarlink
  8. Mar 2028Reach an automated AI researcherOpenAI
  9. Mar 2028Hit a $1B revenue run rateShield AI
  10. H1 2028Bring the Observatorio hybrid project in Chile onlineSungrow
  11. Q2 2028Clear the amended PowerCo milestones through Q2 2028QuantumScape
  12. 2028ALADDIN Nyx ISS cargo demonstration on Ariane 6The Exploration Company
  13. 2028Fly Starfall's first commercial mission with Space CargoSpaceX
  14. Late 2020sBuild Terafab, a joint SpaceX-Tesla chip factory in TexasSpaceX
  15. Late 2020s+Mars cargo architectureSpaceX
  16. NET 2028Fly Zeno Power's radioisotope heater on a Blue Ghost lunar missionFirefly Aerospace
  17. NET 2028Fly the first contracted Alpha missions from EsrangeFirefly Aerospace
  18. 2028Build and launch the Aeolus Mars orbiterRelativity Space
  19. Late 2020sExpand Tiangong from three modules to sixCASC
  20. Late 2020s+Mature the fully reusable Long March 9CASC
  21. Late 2020sSecure HALEU fuel supplyTerraPower
  22. 2028-2029Bring Hermes 1 onlineKairos Power
  23. 2028VC Summer AP1000 completion - final investment decisionWestinghouse Electric Company
  24. 2028Poland's first AP1000 - construction licence review and start of constructionWestinghouse Electric Company
  25. 2028Begin construction of the first commercial Aalo PodAalo Atomics
  26. 2028Reach full commercial operationValar Atomics
  27. 2028Orion plant completionHelion Energy
  28. 2028Connect Orion to the grid and begin initial operationsHelion Energy
  29. 2028Begin Demonstration System commissioningPacific Fusion
  30. Mid-2028VC-25B (Air Force One replacement) deliveryBoeing
  31. 2028-2030Convert the FAA 777F emissions waiver into additional ordersBoeing
  32. mid-2028Fly crewed Starliner-2 with Woody Hoburg in commandBoeing
  33. 2028-2031EASA certification for C919COMAC
  34. 2028-2029Field the 2028 Mission Plane and Chimera II Mk 3Hermeus
  35. 2028Build and fly the first pre-production ES-30Heart Aerospace
  36. Late 2020sBuild Terafab, a joint Tesla-SpaceX chip factory in TexasTesla
  37. 2028-2029Right-size Europe to an asset-light, distributor-led model without exiting the marketNIO
  38. 2028Open public robotaxi service in SingaporeWaymo
  39. Exiting 2028Positive free cash flow on a run-rate basisAurora Innovation
  40. 2028-2029Scale Gen-4 heavy-duty Robotruck to 500-1,000 unitsPony.ai
  41. 2028Certify and launch 200 Gen-7 robotaxis in South KoreaPony.ai
  42. 2028ANAC type certification and entry into serviceEve Air Mobility
  43. Late 2020sAdvance the 'Eutelsat Next' 528-satellite constellation from filing to procurementEutelsat OneWeb
  44. 2028Reach cash-flow breakevenModerna
  45. 2028Read out BNT168 therapeutic HIV vaccine Phase 1BioNTech
  46. 2028Bring the Pike County, Ohio Stargate site onlineOpenAI
  47. 2028Golden Dome space-based interceptor demonstrationAnduril Industries
  48. About 2028Produce a first Virginia-class torpedo-tube article at the Orange County shopAnduril Industries
  49. 2028Cirra/Arexis Eurofighter EK integration work completesHelsing
  50. 2028Stand up an operational constellation of ArcsInversion Space
  51. 2028Break ground and open Port AlphaSaronic
  52. 2028Start LCU 1700 production at Port AlphaSaronic
  53. 2028Open Port Alpha for initial operationsSaronic
  54. 2028Reach X-BAT mission capability, then productionShield AI
  55. 2028Host Space Force laser-link terminal testsK2 Space
  56. 2028Integrate Astrobotic and execute Peregrine-2 and Peregrine-3 lunar deliveriesVoyager Technologies
  57. 2028JASM Kumamoto Fab 2 operations - upgraded to 3nmTSMC
  58. 2028-2030Convert TSMC, Samsung and SK hynix High-NA commitments into high-volume layersASML
  59. 2028Support Tata Electronics' first 300 mm fab in DholeraASML
  60. 2028Ship Hyundai Hyperion 10 L2+ and L2++ ADAS in 2028Nvidia
  61. 2028Feynman architecture with Rosa CPUNvidia
  62. 2028Reach 500 MW / 50 GWh of annual manufacturing capacityForm Energy
  63. 2028Start construction of the Lincoln, Maine 85 MW / 8.5 GWh projectForm Energy
  64. 2028Raise reentry cadence toward routine operationsVarda Space Industries
  65. 2028-2029Build Starcloud-3, the 200 kW Starship-class nodeStarcloud
  66. NET 2028Fly SC-1L compute payload on Firefly Elytra in lunar orbitStarcloud
  67. 2028First Spectrum launch from Spaceport Nova ScotiaIsar Aerospace
  68. 2028Field an operating reactor on a U.S. military installationAntares Nuclear
  69. 2028Deliver the first Kaleidos to Buckley Space Force BaseRadiant Nuclear
  70. 2028Launch first ICEYE-Nokia sovereign communications satellitesICEYE
  71. 2028Deliver the OpenAI 750 MW through 2028Cerebras Systems
  72. mid-2028Bring first phase of Navi Mumbai Taloja campus onlineCoreWeave
  73. Summer 2028Golden Dome: further C2 testing toward 2028 initial operational capabilityPalantir Technologies
  74. Jul 31, 2028Convert the temporary exemption into a durable federal frameworkZoox
  75. 2028Fly the first pre-production ES-36Heart Aerospace
  76. H2 2028Deliver the first 100 kW Giga Class satelliteK2 Space
  77. 2H 2028Complete a Taiwan CPO silicon photonics supply chainTSMC
  78. Sep 30, 2028Deploy eVinci at Fort Drum under the Army's Janus ProgramWestinghouse Electric Company
  79. Oct 7, 2028Pay first Volkswagen JV term-loan interestRivian
  80. Late 2028Start U.S. demonstration flights before FAA type-certificate validationEve Air Mobility
  81. Late 2028Fly Nvidia's Vera Rubin Space-1 GPUStarcloud
  82. late 2028Storm prototype engine test-fireThe Exploration Company
  83. End of 2028Exit 2028 with positive free cash flow on a run-rate basisAurora Innovation
  84. End of 2028Ship the first modules for the Google and Xcel 30 GWh projectForm Energy
  85. End of 2028AMDT3 Golden Dome satellites ready for launchSierra Space
  86. Dec 31, 2028Build and deliver the Mars Telecommunications OrbiterBlue Origin

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